The Middle East
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Last week, Iran came out of the shadows of many years of proxy wars to directly attack Israel. This was met with a swift response from Israel, although at least for now this does not seem to be escalating from such unprecedented direct attacks from both adversaries.
These direct attacks do, however, suggest a material change in the terms of engagement in the Middle East. Will this be a permanent change, or will things settle down again, and revert back to the previous status quo?
In recent years, a number of Middle Eastern nations have normalized diplomatic relations with Israel, with Saudi Arabia announcing its intention to do so prior to the Hamas attack on October 7 last year. This particular announcement was unpalatable to Iran, with an increasing number of its neighbors likely following suit.
What is becoming clearer in the aftermath of Russia’s Ukraine invasion and the recent Taiwan elections is that the dividing line between Eastern and Western powers is growing starker by the month.
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